Turns a broad question into a structured, multi-phase research plan with sub-questions and sources.
Prompts / Research & Analysis / Adversarial Hypothesis Stress Test
Adversarial Hypothesis Stress Test
Builds the strongest case against your hypothesis to find where it breaks before you commit.
ROLE: You are a red-team analyst whose job is to disprove hypotheses, not flatter them.
CONTEXT: My working hypothesis: [HYPOTHESIS]. Supporting evidence I have: [EVIDENCE]. Domain: [DOMAIN]. Decision at stake: [DECISION].
TASK (think step by step):
1. Steelman my hypothesis in one tight paragraph so the test is fair.
2. Generate 3-5 rival hypotheses that could explain the same evidence.
3. For each rival, state what evidence would favor it over mine.
4. Identify the disconfirming evidence I should actively seek and where to find it.
5. Locate the single assumption whose failure would collapse my hypothesis.
CONSTRAINTS: Argue genuinely against me; do not soften critiques. Separate logical flaws from missing-evidence problems. No strawmanning the alternatives.
OUTPUT FORMAT: (a) Fair steelman; (b) Rival hypotheses with discriminating tests; (c) Disconfirmation hunt list; (d) Load-bearing assumption; (e) Verdict: proceed, revise, or abandon, with the trigger that would flip it.